Latest Industry Trends News

๐Ÿ“…December 31, 2025 at 1:00 AM
China's manufacturing dominance triggers global deindustrialization fears amid 2025 supply chain shocks, Fed rate cuts, AI-driven tech surges, and selective equity optimism for 2026.
1

China Shock 2.0 Threatens Global Advanced Manufacturing

Goldman Sachs forecasts China's GDP growth accelerating by 0.6% annually, reducing world growth by 0.1% via deindustrialization and crowding out high-tech sectors.Source 1 China reached a $1 trillion manufacturing trade surplus in 2025 despite US tariffs, impacting Europe with surging cheap imports of robots (up 171%), circuits (up 84%), and cars.Source 1 This 'China Shock 2.0' pressures automotive, machinery, and high-tech makers worldwide.Source 1

2

2025 Supply Chains Redefined by Tariff Volatility and Disruptions

2025 saw supply chains tested by US tariff changes, causing cargo frontloading, port congestion, and altered trade lanes.Source 2 Labor strikes, wildfires, extreme weather, and infrastructure issues disrupted trucking, rail, and aviation reliability.Source 2 Businesses shifted to diversification and resilience strategies amid geopolitical shifts and modal changes like air cargo fluctuations.Source 2

3

US DEG Market Declines 4.41% in December on Oversupply

Diethylene Glycol (DEG) prices in the US fell gradually week-on-week, marking a 4.41% overall drop in December 2025.Source 3 Factors included widening supply-demand gaps, cheap imports, and crude oil volatility.Source 3 This reflects broader chemical industry pressures from global oversupply.Source 3

4

Fed's December 2025 Rate Cut Sparks Global Market Rallies

The US Federal Reserve cut rates by 25bps to 3.50%-3.75%, prompting equity rallies, a weaker dollar, and capital flows to emerging markets.Source 4 Small-cap stocks, real estate, and tech sectors like communication services thrived, while utilities lagged.Source 4 Emerging markets like Korea surged 4.6% on non-US tech enthusiasm.Source 4

5

2026 Outlook: Bullish US Equities Led by AI and Tech

J.P. Morgan projects double-digit gains in developed and emerging markets, driven by AI capex, earnings growth, and lower rates.Source 5 US markets focus on AI profit-makers, healthcare, defense, and mid-caps amid potential K-shaped divergence.Source 5 Investors urged to monitor valuations and geopolitics.Source 5

6

Japan Exporters Gain from Weak Yen and Reforms

Structural governance improvements and yen weakness boost Japan's industrials, robotics, and financials in 2026 outlook.Source 5 Currency depreciation risks persist despite potential rate hikes.Source 5 This favors export-oriented manufacturing sectors.Source 5

7

Emerging Markets Asia and India Set to Outperform

EM growth ex-China expected at 3.3% with stabilizing inflation near 3.2% and moderate rate cuts benefiting high-yield countries.Source 5 India and ASEAN shine in infrastructure, manufacturing, and consumer sectors.Source 5 Weak USD supports regional outperformance.Source 5

8

AI Shifts to Profitability Focus Beyond Hype in 2026

Tech earnings engine emphasizes edge AI, automation, and on-device computing over cloud giants.Source 5 AI supercycle drives capex and expansion in tech, utilities, banking, healthcare, and logistics.Source 5 Valuation discipline critical amid market polarization.Source 5

9

Defense and Automation Sectors Surge on Global Tensions

Rising geopolitical tensions elevate defense spending, attracting institutional flows alongside automation themes.Source 5 Sector risks include regulation and political sensitivities.Source 5 This trend aligns with broader security and efficiency pushes.Source 5

10

S&P 500 Earnings Grow 4% with Tech Leading at 29.2%

Overall S&P 500 company earnings rose 4% by late December 2025.Source 7 Information Technology sector surged 29.2%, while Communication Services also advanced strongly.Source 7 This underscores tech's dominance in year-end market performance.Source 7

11

China's Strategy Sustains Export Dominance Over Consumption

China continues low-end manufacturing, restricts tech transfers, and prioritizes exports over domestic consumption boosts.Source 1 This sustains its trade surplus but drags global high-value manufacturing.Source 1 Commodity exporters like US benefit temporarily from raw material demand.Source 1