Finance-Economy

Latest Finance-Economy News

📅May 13, 2026 at 1:00 AM
US inflation hits three-year high at 3.8% amid Iran conflict, rattling markets and raising stagflation concerns as the S&P 500 declines.
1

US Inflation Accelerates to Three-Year High

US inflation reached 3.8% annually in April, the highest level in three years, driven primarily by energy and food costs related to the ongoing Iran war Source 2. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.6% in April following a 0.9% increase in March, with energy costs accounting for over 40% of the monthly increase Source 2.

2

Stock Market Decline on Inflation Data

The S&P 500 fell approximately 1-2% following the hotter-than-expected inflation report, with losses concentrated in chip stocks and broader market uncertainty Source 1Source 3. Market sentiment has shifted as traders now fully price in the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates at current levels with no immediate cuts expected Source 2.

3

Energy Prices Surge Amid Iran Conflict

Brent crude oil prices rose to $108, up 3.7%, as hopes for an Iran-US peace deal have faded, further pressuring energy costs Source 1. Gasoline prices climbed 5.4% and fuel oil rose 5.8%, with the Strait of Hormuz closure causing severe price spikes affecting vulnerable populations globally Source 5.

4

Treasury Yields Rise Across the Curve

10-year Treasury yields increased by five basis points to 4.5% in response to the stronger-than-expected inflation data Source 1. Yields have risen across the entire curve as markets reassess Federal Reserve policy expectations Source 1.

5

Global Supply Chain Disruptions Worsen Financial Conditions

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has caused Brent crude to rise 41% since the start of 2026, urea prices up 50%, and container freight rates up 21%, with maritime insurance premiums surging ninefold Source 5. Tightened financing conditions and widened risk premiums have amplified the economic shock across vulnerable economies Source 5.

6

Core Inflation Remains Elevated

Excluding food and energy, core inflation rose 0.4% in April, the highest increase since early 2025, indicating broader price pressures throughout the economy Source 2. This suggests inflation is not confined to energy alone Source 2.

7

Fed Policy Remains Unchanged Amid Stagflation Fears

The inflation report has reinforced expectations that the US Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at current levels for an extended period, with traders fully pricing in a hold at upcoming policy meetings Source 2. War-driven inflation has complicated the Fed's policy options as they balance growth concerns with price stability Source 1.

8

Global Markets Seek New Growth Model

Financial markets globally are experiencing a major inflection point as investors search for a new economic growth model amid geopolitical uncertainty Source 1. Airline shares have plunged nearly 20% over the last three months as travel demand weakens Source 1.

9

JPMorgan CEO Warns UK on Bank Taxes

Jamie Dimon has warned the UK that any increase in bank taxes following a potential change in prime minister would result in JPMorgan scrapping plans to invest billions in a new London headquarters in Canary Wharf Source 4. The warning highlights tensions between financial institutions and governments over regulatory costs Source 4.

10

Central Banks Continue Gold Purchases Despite Market Volatility

Despite recent setbacks, foreign central banks including the People's Bank of China continue to purchase gold relentlessly rather than bitcoin, buying additional tons in recent months Source 3. Gold prices currently stand at $4,748 after declining from previous highs of $5,500 Source 3.